NDP leadership: Demochoice poll vs. actual results

How will the Demochoice poll on the NDP leadership race compare to the actual results?

First Round (Demochoice Poll):

Peggy Nash	2,700	(24.5%)
Paul Dewar	2,634	(23.9%)
Thomas Mulcair	1,888	(17.1%)
Nathan Cullen	1,621	(14.7%)
Brian Topp	1,003	(9.1%)
Niki Ashton	895	(8.1%)
Martin Singh	268	(2.4%)
None of these	115

http://demochoice.org/dcresults.php?poll=NDP2012NPD#Round1


Final Round (Demochoice Poll):

Peggy Nash	4,695	(51.9%)
Paul Dewar	4,346	(48.1%)
None of these	2,083

http://demochoice.org/dcresults.php?poll=NDP2012NPD#Round6

Actual first round results:

Thomas Mulcair: 19,728 (30.3%)
Brian Topp: 13,915 (21.4%)
Nathan Cullen 10,671 (16.4%)
Peggy Nash 8,353 (12.8%)
Paul Dewar 4,883 (7.5%)
Martin Singh 3,821 (5.9%)
Niki Ashton 3,737 (5.7%)

Total 65,108 (100.0%)